I didn't realize it at the time, but FIRE and passive income has always been an important topic and focus in my life, and is #3 of all I do (#1 and #2 and God and family respectively). The thrill of getting passive and dividend income still makes me excited till today =D
I shared in other articles in NigelChua that I won't deep-dive on nitty-gritty evaluations of stock and investments, because I'm not wired that way - I focus much much more on philosophy, strategy, systems, sustainability, scalability, leadership, decision making and transformation - more high-level, concepts and systems perspective.
This article covers more about FIRE, what it is, how to get there etc.
The acronym FIRE, stands for: financial dependence and retiring early.
In simple terms, it means that your monthly expenses are covered for my the passive and dividend incomes from your investments, and you can scale down work (or not work at all), and explore other interests or spending time with family or worthy cause ie retiring early without worrying about money.
It needs to cover all expenses for the next 30-50+ years (to me, until I die la), and have buffer for unexpected costs and extra for spending. So to me, it needs to have forever continuity lol, hence I aim to over-save/over-compensate (more on this below).
Hmm. A few words, but it generally means: flexibility, options and freedom.
To be, being unshackled, unbound, free to move and not worrying about money is a very liberating feeling and thing. It means to be able to:
Yes and no.
Everyone can do it, and yes, it does seem like people with lots of disposable income has it easier (it's true cos when you earn more, you have/can* save more).
*Caveat: IF you save more. More often than not, people who earn more, extend and grow their spending too ie their spending increases symmetrically with their earning, and they have bigger toys and expenses to play with. If they can earn a lot and save a lot, that's the sweet spot for FIRE!
It's not just how much you earn, but the contingent is how much you can save and invest month after month into stable investment/dividend stocks.
FIRE is for everyone, and yes, it's easier for
Generally those four points lol to FIRE. It's a very good practice and philosophy anyway, with great outcome once you achieve FIRE (see above).
Our basis of FIRE is based on:
There is this study in 1998, called Trinity Study, which looked at retirement portfolios which consists of stocks and bonds with a withdrawal rate of 4% withdrawal rate...survived 95% of all retirement periods from 1926-2017!
This basically means that if your monthly expenses is $2000, hence your annual expenses = $2000 x 12 months = $24000, means that you need $24000 x 25 = $600K as your investment nest.
Assuming you invest in dividend stocks/portfolio that pays you 4% per year, that'd mean 4% of $600K = $24K per year = $2000 per month.
That's it. Of course, you job will then be to:
So if you can/need to live within 4% annual withdrawal rate, then your investment nest is the inverse of that rate ie 4% = 4/100, hence inverse = 100/4 = 25X of your estimated annual living expenses.
If you need to live within 4%, then the inverse of that is that – your investment nest needs to be 25x your projected annual living expenses.
Barring your earning rate, it's how much you can save and invest into dividend paying investments that will bring you sustainably closer to your FIRE timeline and goal.
Of course, the higher savings rate, the better (we're talking north of 60-75%). In fact if you refer to the graph below (from Mr Money Mustache), if you can save 64% of your income and invest into 4% dividend paying investments and reinvest the dividends, you can retire full FIRE in less than 11 years.
Yes, 11 years.
Most people are shocked with 64%, and think that 10-20+% savings is good enough, but consider this: if you save 30% and invest into 4% annual returns, you can retire in 30 years. What more if you save 10-20%? It'd be a lot more time required.
Aggressive saving is the first step - culling unnecessary expenses and optimizing spending is the basic first step. The next is if you cannot save more, then you need to earn more to invest.
The next step is then to invest:
...to get Compounding Interest (what a beautiful word, wipes tears from eyes) - compounding interest is accelerating and growing your savings/investments.
Give you a simple analogy: if you save $1000 per month x 12 months x 20 years, you would have saved...$240K right?
No, that's not enough. I expect every dollar to work hard for me to birth more cents and dollars (insert evil laugh here lol). Let's use the graph below to illustrate:
Assuming 10% interests per year, with $1000 invested per month, to compound means to take the interest and reinvest, so it'd look like this:
So, instead of having $240K after 20 years as mentioned earlier, with 10% return and it being reinvested, you end up with $756K. Like what on earth is this magic?
It ain't magic baby - just maths and compounding interests. Most people use compounding interest in a bad bad way (think paying bare minimum off credit cards or loans with interests), so doing this instead will use compounding in a powerful way - in your benefit.
I don't tend to want to advice which specific investments to investment/speculate in, so generally rule of thumb: do not gamble or speculate. To retire early, you need stuff that is proven and has been around since 5-10++++ years (ideally 20-30+ years) with data showing it's stable and reliable.
After all, if you want to retire early without worry about money coming in, you need reliable investments right?
So the easiest and probably the safest is low-low-low fee investments like index funds, which is also recommended by well-known Warren Buffett.
By investing in index funds, it doesn't require you to have any technical knowledge or "gaming/timing the market" - you basically invest into a fund that aggregate the performance of the top companies in the country that reflects the general economy of the country.
If you're talking about Singapore, then it's the STI. If you take a peek at SPDR STI ETF website, you can see that it's been about 7+% return since inception.
Technically if you are averaging 7% and you're only withdrawing 4%, you have a good 3% that is considered still working for you day-in-day-out. However on a real-life basis, the actual dividends from STI ETF ranges from 2.6-3+% in actuality (I believe the aggregate 7% includes capital appreciation, and wanted to bring this up).
Of course you can choose to buy other investments such as individual stock picking, land banking, real estate etc but after trying my hands on a few different types, I still prefer dividend stocks because it's easy (it's liquid; dividends are non-taxed and wired automatically into my bank account with little to do compared to real estate investing etc) and hence it doesn't distract me from my core functions such as writing, business, fathering, spending time with loved ones.
The simple and the most common way of FIRE is essentially a combination of minimalism, DIY, anti-consumerism, lots of patience. The maths here is basically the less you need to live with/on, the less you need saved/invested and the faster you can reach your FIRE goal.
We actually dont need to spend that much on stuff actually (my opinion) - simplicity and frugality can be quite satisfying.
Like, what's the point of working 20-40 hours to pay for a larger house where I can't enjoy or can't be with my wife or kids...so I can pay for the larger house?
If you can cut unnecessary Decadent Expenses, you will cut your required savings/time/required amount to reach your FIRE.
How much time would that save you in years?
My FIRE approach is the same as above but with a little twist:
Too many of these around.
From the smallish ones like:
Say we take an average per month:
That's $1020 per month or $12240 per year.
Invest that with 4% return with compounding over 20 years = $379063.03. The other way to look at this is that every $1020 expense you have increases your nest size requirement by $300K+ per year.
(Imagine any other money suckers).
Please, what I urge is to ruthlessly cut out stuff that:
Those kind of expenses - kill them. Save those and take the savings to invest in dividend stocks that pay you dividends to spend on things you care about - including bubble tea.
100% guilt free.
FIRE is not just about being frugal nor being cheap - it's about curating and choosing a conscious lifestyle of what that you care about. I can't live cheap nor be miserable, unless it's bad habits that I need to break (eg you don't need retail therapy to be happy).
It's also being mindful of what you want to do with your money today, and building a financially independent and retiring early for a near future. You'd be surprised, that FIRE lifestyle isn't about depriving yourself of a pleasure, instead, it's replacing it with something better, healthier, happier.
That's the easy (but boring) part.
The fun part comes when you hit your FIRE goal and/or finding a side hustle that you really love or that brings deep meaning to you.